Articles
A searchable index of essays on judgment, decision quality, and the structure of belief in an AI-saturated world.
- AI + JudgmentApr 24, 20269 min read
Why Better AI Output Can Still Make Judgment Worse
Fluency is not accuracy. As model output gets smoother, the cues we used to detect weak reasoning quietly disappear — and our judgment quietly degrades with them.
Read article - Decision QualityApr 17, 202611 min read
The Assumption Failure Pattern Behind Bad Decisions
Most failed decisions share a structure: a single load-bearing assumption no one stress-tested. Here's how to find yours before reality does.
Read article - AI + JudgmentApr 09, 20268 min read
Stop Accepting AI Output Without an Evaluation Layer
If you don't have a rubric, you don't have a workflow — you have a vibe. A short framework for grading model output before you act on it.
Read article - FrameworksMar 28, 20267 min read
Decision Fragility: How Many Assumptions Have to Fail?
Some decisions tolerate three things going wrong. Others collapse if one does. A way to count the load-bearing beams before you commit.
Read article - Critical ThinkingMar 14, 20266 min read
The Difference Between Being Right and Being Less Wrong
Being right is a moment. Being less wrong is a direction. The second one compounds; the first one rarely does.
Read article - Product ThinkingFeb 27, 202610 min read
Why Retrospectives Often Fail as Decision Systems
Most retros grade outcomes, not decisions. That's why the same team keeps making the same call and learning nothing from the result.
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