Framework 01
Assumption Stress Test
Identify which assumptions a decision depends on, then ask what happens if each one turns out to be false.
Best used
Before committing to a plan whose outcome depends on several beliefs being true at once.
The toolkit
Frameworks
Reusable thinking tools for testing assumptions, evidence, and risk. Each one is small enough to use in the moment, and structured enough to survive contact with a real decision.
Framework 02
AI Output Skeptic Layer
A short evaluation pass for AI-generated output: what is being claimed, what would prove it wrong, and what you've actually verified.
Best used
Any time model output is about to influence a real decision, message, or artifact.
Framework 03
Decision Fragility Model
Count the load-bearing beliefs in a plan. The more that must hold simultaneously, the more fragile the decision.
Best used
When choosing between a complex plan with many dependencies and a simpler one with fewer.
Framework 04
Evidence Chain Check
Trace each claim back to its source. Mark links as direct evidence, inference, or assertion — and find the weakest link.
Best used
When a conclusion feels strong but you can't immediately say why you believe it.
Framework 05
Premortem Lite
Assume the decision has already failed. Write the three most plausible reasons why — before you commit, not after.
Best used
At the moment of commitment, when momentum is high and skepticism is low.